Chicago Bears: Anthony Miller should not return puntsPatrick Sheldonon October 1, 2020 at 6:34 pm

But so far this year, the results have been, well, non-existent. In three games, he has returned one point for zero yards and has called for a fair catch on three others. So it’s fair to say the punt return game hasn’t done much to set up the offense for success in what is admittedly a limited sample size.

However, even last year, when he was near the top of the league in average punt return yards, he was only netting a little over nine yards per return. Granted nine yards is nothing to sneeze at, especially when you’re talking about starting field position. Yet, it has to be balanced against the prospective risk and cost, especially when you consider Cohen was injured on a punt return.

Speaking of that potential cost, we turn to their likely replacement, the aforementioned Miller. It doesn’t make sense for the Bears to throw Miller back there and risk injury. First of all, he’s too valuable to the offense as their second wide receiver to take the chance — especially with Nick Foles under center. Second, he injured his surgically repaired left shoulder on a kickoff return less than a year ago against the Vikings!

Put another way, the juice isn’t worth the squeeze, and here’s what I mean by that. You’ve likely heard of the statistic Wins Above Replacement which tries to assess a baseball player’s value by deciphering how many more wins he’s worth than a replacement player. Along those lines, how many more return yards is Cohen worth than his replacement. Well, Cohen was 6th in the league last year averaging 9.2 yards per return. The 16th ranked punt returner averaged 4.3 yards.

So the disparity between good and great isn’t all that significant. Are an extra five yards worth the risk of losing Miller for the season too? Not even close — especially when you consider you also have Ted Ginn on the roster who, in his career, has 2,600 total punt return yards. The move makes little sense. Hopefully, it won’t come back to bite the Bears.