What’s missing from this classroom picture?(Antonio Perez / Chicago Tribune)

There’s much to learn about the unique coronavirus pandemic, but what we know for sure is that children should be, must be, back in school

Science Fact #1: The infection rate among students is exceedingly low, so low that no rational argument can support the idea of complete or even partial lockdowns of classrooms.

Science Fact #2:  Keeping children out of school and isolating them at home is  ruinous.

As to fact Number One: Emily Oster,  an economist at Brown University, reports on her broad-based study in The Atlantic:

Our data on almost 200,000 kids in 47 states from the last two weeks of September revealed an infection rate of 0.13 percent among students and 0.24 percent among staff. That’s about 1.3 infections over two weeks in a school of 1,000 kids, or 2.2 infections over two weeks in a group of 1,000 staff. Even in high-risk areas of the country, the student rates were well under half a percent. (You can see all the data here.)

School-based data from other sources show similarly low rates. Texas reported 1,490 cases among students for the week ending on September 27, with 1,080,317 students estimated at school—a rate of about 0.14 percent. The staff rate was lower, about 0.10 percent.

These numbers are not zero, which for some people means the numbers are not good enough. But zero was never a realistic expectation. We know that children can get COVID-19, even if they do tend to have less serious cases. Even if there were no spread in schools, we’d see some cases, because students and teachers can contract the disease off campus. But the numbers are small—smaller than what many had forecasted.

Smaller than forecasted? That’s sure an understatement. The wilder, panicky predictions were that opened schools would become superspreaders bringing death and destruction to their homes and communities. She wrote:

Predictions about school openings hurting the broader community seem to have been overblown as well. In places such as Florida, preliminary data haven’t shown big community spikes as a result of school openings. Rates in Georgia have continued to decline over the past month. And although absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, I’ve read many stories about outbreaks at universities, and vanishingly few about outbreaks at the K–12 level.

Even the recent spikes in “cases” don’t support the level of generated fear. As of this writing on Nov.19, Atlantic Coast High School near me in Jacksonville, Florida, reported nine students and one staff member diagnosed with Covid-19 according to the Duval County dashboard. That’s 10 infections out of 2,681 students, for a percentage of 0.38 percent. (No figures are given on recovered, hospitalize, ventilated or fatalities, but one can only assume that they are extremely low.) Same goes for the nearby elementary school (2 cases out of 2,511 students) and middle school (1 case out of 2,531 students).

Reports the American Academy of Pediatrics:

About 1.7% of all COVID-19 hospitalizations and 0.06% of the deaths have been among children. About 1.6% of children with a known case of COVID-19 have been hospitalized and 0.01% have died, according to the report.

Yes, indisputably if it were my child or grandchild who was among them, I’d be devastated. But as Oster said above, zero cases is not a realistic expectation.

As to Fact #2: The American Academy of Pediatrics “…strongly advocates that all policy considerations for the coming school year should start with a goal of having students physically present in school.” [Boldface in the original.]

It then emphasizes that:

Unfortunately, in many parts of the United States, there is currently uncontrolled spread of SARS-CoV-2. Although the AAP strongly advocates for in-person learning for the coming school year, the current widespread circulation of the virus will not permit in-person learning to be safely accomplished in many jurisdictions. [Emphasis in original.]

That makes sense. But notice that it argues not for blanket shutdowns but the consideration of facts on the ground.

Then the statement on the website goes on to partially list the damage being done to children by being kept out of school:

…social isolation, making it difficult for schools to identify and address important learning deficits as well as child and adolescent physical or sexual abuse, substance use, depression, and suicidal ideation. This, in turn, places children and adolescents at considerable risk of morbidity and, in some cases, mortality. Beyond the educational impact and social impact of school closures, there has been substantial impact on food security and physical activity for children and families. The disproportionate impact this has had on Black, Latinx, and Native American/Alaskan Native children and adolescents must also be recognized. 

That, friends, is the science that needs to be followed. That science is backed up by millions of parents and their children who could create a long list of problems caused by the kids’ isolation.

We need to end the disastrous, bogus and politically motivated habit of justifying classroom shutdowns by blindly repeated the trope, “follow the science,” when it is contrary to the actual science. The cliche spills from the lips of politicians, like New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, of special interests like teachers unions and of ideologues and blind partisans who oppose opening classrooms because President Donald Trump is for it.

My sympathies are with the volunteer school boards, especially in the suburbs, who are suffering the pressure of lawyers who demand zero chance of legal reprisals for opening schools and of those self-center teachers unions who threaten strikes if they are required to resume real-life teaching. Yes, teachers are taking a risk by returning to the classroom, but a very slight one. Just like the supermarket cashiers, nurses and other frontline workers whose risks from transmission is so much higher.

Yes, those school boards need to protect the district from lawsuits, strikes and other threats from stakeholders. But listen to the parents who are demanding, begging, the schools to be reopened. Your first responsibility is to the students, and by ignoring their learning and good health,, you are betraying them.

Useful information for parents and others who want their schools reopened: Reopen Illinois Schools (private Facebook group).

Couch potato, nah, I’ve more like a Dorito chip lost between the cushions during last February’s Super Bowl, stale, slightly odorous with a green fuzz around the edges. Is it Thursday? Already? How can that be, yesterday it was Sunday, I’m quite sure.

It’s a challenge to stay within five pounds of your goal weight, to shave and shower at least every other day… and to stay strongminded and energized and purposeful as your world shrinks into your desktop monitor.

I know what I am supposed to do: be grateful for the many blessings that make my life so rich; be conscious of all that is good in my life; refuse to allow the pandemic to define how I live my life.

But that is as helpful as the yogic recommendation to end the morning shower with a brisk wake-up blast of cold water. It takes a hell of a lot of willpower and just what is the point of goose bumps on a shivering butt?

It’s a reminder that we have a choice – and the will – to access our inner wisdom even as we fall out of bed grumpy and pessimistic and wondering why we wasted a Monday evening watching the Bears stink up Soldier Field.

In the early weeks of the pandemic folks were coming out at sunset and singing songs and creating a sense of community bonding. But as the weeks turned into months, the disillusionment set in. Now, as the world comes to a standstill, it’s a singular challenge, to summon up the resolve to move forward with renewed purpose.

I’m reluctant to offer advice but I will share my response to the days when my bathrobe stays on till noon and the COVID-19 plague wins out and reduces life to a fenced-in dog run.

Go inward is the directive! Our inner wisdom is the resource to call upon.

For sure I troll the internet and keep abreast of the latest developments about vaccines and restaurants closing and ‘hot spots’ and the disillusioned folks who think wearing a mask is a socialist plot to undermine the second amendment, but I do not stop there: I put away the mobile and go inward. I find within, the resolve to shift the focus from ‘all-about-me’ to a higher good. I embrace with certainty the belief that there is a spiritual purpose behind everything that happens!

Am I going to wax poetic now? A bit, but please don’t roll your eyes and think I’m off on a New Age histrionic. We become “spiritual” when we are moved by values that seem to reveal a meaning or power beyond our visible world, such as beauty, love, or inherent goodness.

We get beyond the drudgery of our quarantine by creating a heart-felt relationship with the deepest meanings of life, moving from individual desire to a feeling of being connected with a larger reality…with nature or the cosmos; or with what some call divinity.

Free from the self-important pandering of the ego, your authentic Self emerges. You feel what is unseen, concepts such as love, compassion and forgiveness. It’s time to take off the bathrobe and get dressed and face the day.