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Biden got his “minor incursion” by Russia into Ukraine. What now?

Biden got his “minor incursion” by Russia into Ukraine. What now?


German troops march into Prague in 1939 (Public Domain)

Putin begins carving up Ukraine, like Hitler carved up Czechoslovakia

At a Jan. 20 news conference, President Joe Biden said:

“I think what you’re going to see is that Russia will be held accountable if it invades. And it depends on what it does. It’s one thing if it’s a minor incursion and then we end up having a fight about what to do and not do.” [Emphasis added.]

Did that sound like an invitation for what happened last night? Last night, Russia moved its troops into two separatist territories in eastern Ukraine. From there, it is staged to dive farther into what is a sovereign nation. But possibly not right away.

Biden and the White House quickly walked back the “minor incursion” reference, and the president joined NATO this afternoon with the imposition of sanctions on Russian banks, oligarchs and other pressure points.

And Biden’s prediction about having a fight about what to do about an incursion or invasion (take your pick) has come true. Critics immediately said those sanctions were not enough to stop Russian President Vladimir Putin from further “incursions.” While Biden and NATO said they have more arrows in their quivers if Putin goes farther.

So, the world waits to find out if Putin will launch a full-scale invasion , executing what might be called an incremental invasion.

Just like Hitler took over  Czechoslovakia. In increments. You’d think we might have learned from so obvious a lesson. The historical film of Nazis marching into Czechoslovakia is deceptive in one regard: It didn’t happen all at once. Hitler carved up the country piece by piece until the take-over was fulfilled. How revealing that Hitler used the same rhetoric as Putin: Both take-overs were meant to “protect” Germans and Russians respectively in the targeted countries. And both Hitler and Putin claimed they had a right to gobble up each country because they were really a part of Germany and Russia.

One thing that’s now obvious is that the western, free and democratic nations waited too long to counter Russia’s act of war that came several years ago, not just last night.

The Oxford Reference defines an act of war as “An act by one nation intended to initiate or provoke a war with another nation; an act considered sufficient cause for war.” By that definition, Putin already had committed an act of war years ago by surrounding Ukraine on three sides. By that definition, the war already had started long ago.

What should we have done? I admit, I don’t know. Putin proved he is a madman by his rambling, goofy speech last night, so how can anyone be certain about what would have or will deter him?

Here’s what I fear. He’s crazy enough to ignore the damage done to his country by any sanctions, and press ahead with his campaign to restore the boundaries of the old Soviet Union. Or more, by trying to reclaim the “Eastern Bloc” nations (formerly called the “Captive Nations” during the height of the Cold War). Militarily.

Is it possible that actual military action against Russian forces will be the only way to deter him? Actual ground combat and cyber warfare? At the risk nuclear war? Just like during the Cold War? Introduce a new generation of younger Americans to the deep fear of nuclear annihilation experienced by the children of the ’50s and ’60s? Hiding under school desks? Go back to building (useless) bomb shelters in the back yard? The return of Dr. Stangelove?

What now?

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Case Shiller: Chicago Area Home Price Appreciation Strengthens Yet Again

Case Shiller: Chicago Area Home Price Appreciation Strengthens Yet Again

For the 2nd month Chicago home price
appreciation accelerated

The nation’s home prices are still going strong according to the latest Case Shiller home price indices for December released from S&P Dow Jones CoreLogic this morning. The December indices came in with an 18.8% increase for the full year, the same as reported for the 12 months ending in November.

Surprisingly, Chicago home price appreciation actually accelerated a bit with a 12.2% increase – the highest level in 4 months – compared to an 11.7% increase for the 12 months ending in November. Condos and townhomes rose by 3.9%, also the highest level in 4 months.

At least Chicago is no longer at the bottom of the major metro areas for price appreciation. We’ve risen to third from the bottom.

Chicago area single family home prices have shown annual gains for 110 consecutive months.

Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI, pointed out that 2021 saw the highest rate of home price appreciation in the 34 years they’ve been tracking the data. However, he also pointed out that rising mortgage rates should put the kibosh on rising home prices.

Case Shiller Chicago Area Home Price Index By Month

The graph below plots the monthly index values for single family homes and condos along with a trend line that I constructed from pre-bubble data. December single family home prices rose 0.6% from November while condo prices dropped 0.3%. A drop is normal at that time of the year.

You can clearly see in the graph how single family home prices have once again pulled away from condo prices. Single family home prices are actually 2.3% above their bubble peak while condo prices are still 0.9% below.

Speaking of the bubble, single family home prices have risen 67.9% from the bottom of the crash in housing prices while condo prices have risen 64.1%. However, single family home prices are still lagging that red trend line by 20.1%.

The Chicago real estate market finally surpassed bubble peak prices in August.

#ChicagoHomePrices #CaseShiller #HomePrices

Gary Lucido is the President of Lucid Realty, the Chicago area’s full service real estate brokerage that offers home buyer rebates and discount commissions. If you want to keep up to date on the Chicago real estate market or get an insider’s view of the seamy underbelly of the real estate industry you can Subscribe to Getting Real by Email using the form below. Please be sure to verify your email address when you receive the verification notice.

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Tristan Thompson means more to the Chicago Bulls than you might thinkRyan Heckmanon February 22, 2022 at 4:00 pm

With the 2022 NBA All Star Break in the rear view, the Chicago Bulls are back to work. The national media may not be talking about the Bulls like a first place team, but that’s exactly where they remain heading into the home stretch of the season.

Tied with the Miami Heat for first in the Eastern Conference at 38-21, the Bulls continue to battle through adversity to play winning basketball.

That adversity has come in the form of many injuries — none more significant than losing Patrick Williams for almost the entirety of this season. Sure, Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso mean a heck of a lot to the Bulls, especially defensively. But, when looking at the playoff picture, Chicago has long-needed depth in their front court if they are to compete with the likes of Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers.

Fortunately, the Bulls received a gift when the Indiana Pacers bought out big man Tristan Thompson. The 30-year-old veteran chose to sign with Chicago, and now the Bulls have exactly what they have needed for months now.

Tristan Thompson will prove to be the single move to keep the Chicago Bulls in championship contention.

It seems crazy that Thompson is still just 30 years old, because he’s played for a handful of teams over the past two years in Boston, Sacramento and his brief stint with Indiana. Thompson spent the first nine years of his career with the Cleveland Cavaliers before seeing himself passed around for a couple of seasons.

Make no mistake, though. Thompson is still a high-caliber big man. Whether or not he’s being talked about as still being a good player is irrelevant. The numbers will speak volumes.

This year, between the Kings and Pacers, Thompson is still playing at an extremely high level. He’s been a bench piece, but if you look at his per-36-minute averages, they are outstanding:

15.8 points, 9.8 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game

Thompson is also shooting the best percentage (54.2) from the field since his 2017-2018 campaign.

Maybe the most shocking statistic from Thompson’s 2021-2022 season, so far, is that he’s averaging 5.5 offensive rebounds per 36 minutes. That is a career-high for the former first-round pick.

Despite leading the Eastern Conference, the Bulls are 27th in the league in rebounding and 29th in offensive rebounds. Thompson’s presence on the boards is going to make a huge difference.

Not only that, but Thompson’s size allows the Bulls to match up much better with a guy like Embiid, who has been the Bulls’ kryptonite this season. Once Williams is back in the fold, the Bulls’ three-man rotation in the front court is going to mean a world of difference.

Chicago is not just fortunate to be in first place, through all of their injuries, but they are in a position of power now. Billy Donovan has had this team rolling, still, and they aren’t even healthy. Adding a veteran big man with championship and playoff experience, plus a major rebounding presence, was exactly what the doctor ordered.

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Tristan Thompson means more to the Chicago Bulls than you might thinkRyan Heckmanon February 22, 2022 at 4:00 pm Read More »

Aaron Rodgers’ cryptic instagram post has Chicago Bears fans wonderingRyan Heckmanon February 22, 2022 at 3:07 pm

To the Green Bay Packers fans rolling their eyes and laughing at the fact that we, Chicago Bears fans, can’t keep this type of rumor or news out of our heads: you’re right.

You are absolutely right. Packer fans can laugh and poke fun all they want, and that’s perfectly fine.

When you have been tormented for over two decades by one position on one bitter division rival, you’ll understand just how much this topic means to Bears fans. When Aaron Rodgers finally leaves Green Bay, it will feel as though the Bears won a mini Super Bowl. But, yes, go ahead and laugh. We’ll allow it.

On with the news — er, rumor? Rodgers took to instagram last night to post a very cryptic “thank you” to those he was closest to over the past year.

Could Aaron Rodgers finally be on his way out, leaving Chicago Bears fans with the ultimate sense of relief?

Rodgers’ post was a lengthy one, but here’s the text:

#MondayNightGratitude for some of the incredibly special people in my life, with some pictures from the last beautiful year.

@shailenewoodley, thanks for letting me chase after you the first couple months after we met, and finally letting me catch up to you and be a part of your life. Thanks for always having my back, for the incredible kindness you show me and everyone you meet, and for showing me what unconditional love looks like, I love you and am grateful for you.
To the men I got to share the QB room with everyday, Matt, Nathaniel, Luke, @jordan3love and @kurtbenkert , you guys made every day so much fun and I’m so thankful for the daily laughs and stress relief you brought me every week of the year. I love you guys.

To the Friday Crew, @aiydacobb , @rcobb18 , @frankieshebby , and @davidbakhtiari , I loved every moment we got to spend together this year. Your love and support was overwhelming, and I cherish the friendships I have with each of you.
To my teammates, past and current, you are the icing on the beautiful cake we call our job; football. the friendships that we have will transcend our collective time in this game and I am so thankful for the role that each of you have played in making my life that much better. I love you guys, and cherish the memories we’ve made.

To everyone else,
Spread love and gratitude you beautiful people, and read a book once in a while too while you’re at it. Love and peace

For the past year or so, there have been countless rumors about Rodgers leaving Green Bay for a team such as the Denver Broncos. He nearly quit on the team last year, before ultimately coming back after restructuring the deal he had with Green Bay. The restructuring included verbiage that stated the Packers would attempt to trade Rodgers if he still indeed wanted out.

Recent reports suggest that the Packers are prepared to “go all-in” to keep Rodgers this offseason. That likely means they are going to push future money down the road and attempt to re-sign Davante Adams, for starters.

But, beyond that, the Packers don’t have a lot of money to work with. They can choose to cut some good players, and opt to not re-sign others, but in the end, how much does that actually help the team win?

The fact of the matter is, Bears fans won’t have to wait much longer to see Rodgers’ exit in Green Bay. Whether it’s this year or next year, the clock is ticking. Rodgers’ career is coming to an end, whether Packer fans want to come to grips with it or not.

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Aaron Rodgers’ cryptic instagram post has Chicago Bears fans wonderingRyan Heckmanon February 22, 2022 at 3:07 pm Read More »

NBA 75th Anniversary Team: Who’s overrated? Who’s underrated? Our insiders weigh inon February 22, 2022 at 2:18 pm

ESPN’s ranking of the NBA’s 75th Anniversary Team has been revealed. What did we get right and what did we get wrong about our countdown of the league’s 76 greatest legends?

Michael Jordan tops the list, followed by LeBron James, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Magic Johnson and Wilt Chamberlain. The top 10 continues with Bill Russell, Larry Bird, Tim Duncan, Oscar Robertson and Kobe Bryant.

Which all-time greats were overrated and underrated? Which active player currently has the best case to be named No. 77?

Our expert panel is breaking down the rankings, including insight on their biggest factors when comparing players of different eras, the evolution of the all-time top three and what the future could hold for an NBA 100th Anniversary Team.

Note: Players’ accomplishments in the NBL, the ABA, college or international basketball were not considered during the voting process. The voting pool included 76 players, as there was a tie during the NBA’s voting for its 75th Anniversary Team.

MORE: NBA Power Rankings at the All-Star break

1. Which player was most overrated in the rankings?

Kevin Arnovitz: Kevin McHale (No. 39). McHale’s footwork in the post was the stuff of the Bolshoi Ballet. But it’s tough, for instance, to see him 19 spots ahead of Elvin Hayes, even accounting for the multiple championships. McHale was durable, but Hayes was an ironman and a bit more prolific. McHale undoubtedly belongs on the list, but I’d probably slot him a dozen spots lower alongside a few of the prolific guards below him.

2 Related

Jamal Collier: Reggie Miller (No. 51). Miller has a few famous moments and one elite skill, but he just doesn’t have the accolades of a lot of other players on this list. I would have him lower.

Tim MacMahon: Bob Pettit (No. 35). He was obviously one of the greats of his generation, but I have a hard time believing Pettit would have been a dominant force as the game advanced. Sorry, but you can’t convince me that a guy who shot 43.6% from the floor when color TV was considered state of the art is a top-35 player of all time.

Kevin Pelton: Pete Maravich (No. 54). Remembering that we’re only considering players’ NBA careers, Maravich didn’t belong ahead of three MVPs (Dave Cowens, Willis Reed and Russell Westbrook), all of whom enjoyed more success in the postseason as well. Maravich’s five All-Star appearances rank ahead of just four modern-era players on the list: Billy Cunningham (four in the NBA), Earl Monroe (four), Dennis Rodman (two) and Bill Walton (two).

Andre Snellings: Kevin Durant (No. 12). He is one of the most effortless scorers in NBA history, and his skill set as a 7-footer is absurd. Durant played his entire career in the data ball era, and the results of various impact studies bare out the trend. Take Real Plus Minus (RPM) as an example: Durant has finished top five in RPM in only three seasons in his career, with his best finish at third. Compare that with some of his peers who are lower on the list, such as Stephen Curry (16th, seven top-five finishes, best finish at first in the league) or Chris Paul (29th, 10 top-five finishes, best finish at first). Durant is elite, but at this level there are several other players (including several of his generational peers) who have had larger impacts on winning.

Did ESPN’s voting panel underrate James Harden? Wendell Cruz/USA TODAY Sports

2. Which player was most underrated in the rankings?

MacMahon: James Harden (No. 50). It feels like he got demoted several spots due to being in the middle of — or creating, if we’re being totally honest — yet another melodrama. He certainly should be higher based on statistics. If we’re holding the lack of a title against him, that’s fine, but there are a bunch of players above him who don’t own a championship ring.

Pelton: Harden. In general, it feels like many contemporary players were downgraded based on their current level of play. Harden (19th in my championships added metric, 50th in these rankings) was the most notable example of a group that also included Anthony Davis (47th in championships added) and Russell Westbrook (46th). I think once these players retire, it will be easier to remember how great they were in their primes.

Arnovitz: The aforementioned Elvin Hayes (No. 58). The Big E played 80 or more games for 16 consecutive seasons, with career averages of 21 points, 12.5 rebounds and a couple of blocks per game, and he won a title with the Bullets in 1978. He could take an outlet pass from Wes Unseld and glide down the court, and his turnaround jumper was unguardable. Hayes was notoriously prickly, which might have diminished his standing in the club of legends. But his game was smooth.

Collier: Chris Paul (No. 29). Paul checks in among a cluster of players with accomplished careers who lack a championship to complete their resume. The way Paul’s presence on the floor transforms a franchise cannot be overstated, and he belongs up there with Charles Barkley near the top of that group.

Snellings: Kevin Garnett (No. 21). His team situation throughout his career obscured the fact that he had arguably the largest impact on winning of any player in the past 25 years. Garnett was one of the most dominant defensive big men in NBA history, and he was also an excellent team offense creator/floor spacer from the big man position. Across the full body of impact studies of the data ball era, spanning back to 1997, Garnett’s only peer in overall positive effect on team scoring margins is LeBron James, the No. 2 player on the list.

3. Which active player has the best case to be named No. 77?

Arnovitz: Say there was a player who has an MVP to his name, has already compiled a cumulative value over replacement player rating better than Kawhi Leonard and Giannis Antetokounmpo and ranks second among active players in win shares per 48 minutes? Nikola Jokic is that player. He’s only 27, which might be the best reason to omit him from the big list. Yet if he logs another couple of seasons at his current level of production, it will be hard to keep him off. And if Denver gets healthy and finds itself contending, he’s a lock.

Friday, Feb. 25
Heat at Knicks, 7:45 p.m.
Clippers at Lakers, 10:05 p.m.

All times Eastern

Snellings: Jokic. He, along with Derrick Rose, are the only two active MVPs not currently on the list. But, while Rose has tragically dealt with injuries for much of his career, Jokic has been healthy and elite for several seasons already and is turning in another campaign worthy of a second consecutive MVP this season. He is a positional outlier, as an elite offense-creating big man through which the Nuggets run their entire game. According to Second Spectrum tracking, he has led the NBA in touches since the start of the 2017-18 season by a margin of almost 7,000 over second place, Russell Westbrook, and Jokic’s personal RPM and his team’s offensive ratings are consistently elite.

Collier: Dwight Howard should have been a lock to be on this list, so he’s got to be the first player included if the list was increased by one. Honorable mention to Draymond Green, who has been a key member of a dynasty, and whose ability to play small-ball center forced teams to rethink their lineups and usher in the era of positionless basketball.

MacMahon: Dwight Howard is a three-time Defensive Player of the Year who ranks 57th on the all-time scoring list. There was a whole lot of messiness in the middle of his career, but Howard belongs on this list based on his eight seasons with the Orlando Magic alone.

Pelton: Howard. Speaking of players underrated because of recency bias, the journeyman back half of Howard’s career has overshadowed what an incredible player he was with the Magic. Howard’s five All-NBA First Team selections are more than half the players on the 75th anniversary team. I’m willing to bet he’ll make the top 100 in 25 years when those memories are no longer so fresh.

Comparing NBA legends from different eras is no easy task. Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE/Getty Images

4. What is your biggest factor when comparing players of different generations?

Collier: Dominance relative to competition and being the No. 1 option on a championship team. Since it’s hard to compare players across eras, I take into account how players competed against their competition. Being the best player on a team that wins it all or lifting teams into contention year after year are huge deciding factors, even if a player doesn’t win a title.

Snellings: The biggest factor in comparing players of different generations is how much impact they had on their team winning. We have plenty of ways to measure and correlate a player’s presence with his team’s scoring margins, and while those tools are more accurate in the current era, there are ways to quantify impact back to the dawn of the shot clock. For Bill Russell, for example, we can show that the Celtics had a below-average defense the year before his arrival, the top defense in the NBA by a cartoonish margin during his career and a below-average defense the year after he retired. Or, with players like Oscar Robertson, Jerry West and Bill Walton, we can examine the team’s scoring margins in games they played vs. games they missed, and the results illustrate they were some of the biggest impact players in NBA history.

Pelton: Given how much the league’s style of play has changed over time, to me the single biggest factor is how dominant a player was relative to his peers in a given era. A secondary factor is how competitive the era was in terms of number of teams, rival leagues and the pool of available players.

Arnovitz: It’s important to be mindful of trends that defined the period. Penalizing players prior to the 3-point era for less efficient production or shooting percentages doesn’t seem right. For instance, does anyone doubt that if voracious scorers like Bob McAdoo or Dominique Wilkins were told during the 1980s to master the 3-point shot, they wouldn’t have?

MacMahon: When in doubt, go with the younger guy. It’s a different and much better game now than it was in previous generations. Players now are bigger, stronger, faster and more skilled.

5. Pick one player who is a lock for the NBA’s 100th Anniversary Team (top 100 all time) in 2046.

Pelton: Jokic. Dwight Howard has the strongest case of any active player now to make the list, but by the end of Jokic’s career, Jokic is likely to pass him. For that matter, if Jokic wins a second consecutive MVP (he’s second in ESPN’s latest straw poll), he might pass Howard by the end of this year.

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MacMahon: Nikola Jokic, a serious threat to repeat as MVP at 27, is the best bet. He’s the first of his kind — not just the best passing big man ever but legitimately a point center, a 7-footer who often brings the ball up the floor, leads the league in rebounding and ranks among the top scorers. I’d also be pretty comfortable placing a wager on 22-year-old Doncic, who continues to put up numbers unprecedented for a player his age — or any age, in some cases.

Arnovitz: Luka Doncic. There’s little reason to believe that Doncic won’t be squarely in the top 50 by the time the league reaches its centenarian milestone. Not even lax, Dionysian summers can keep Luka from those heights.

Collier: Tracy McGrady. Injuries cut short his career, but for a seven-year peak, McGrady had a case as the best offensive player in the league. Had he kept his career going, McGrady would be a no-brainer for this list, but with seven All-NBA teams and two scoring titles, he has as strong a case as, say, Damian Lillard.

Snellings: I was tempted to pick Bronny James in hopes that we’ll see LeBron and his son become a basketball version of the Griffeys. But, instead I’ll go with Ja Morant, simply because he is one of the most fun players to watch in the NBA already at only 22 years old. He combines breathtaking physical ability, elite skills and a come-at-your-neck competitive spirit that seems destined to take his team to the mountaintop sooner rather than later. If he keeps it up, he should easily be well within that top 100.

Bonus! Fact or fiction: The current top three will be the same top three in 2046.

Arnovitz: Fiction. The game has produced a “top-three player” every 15 years or so. Given the evolution of the game and the contemporary athletes, there’s good reason to believe it will produce another in the next 25.

Collier: Fiction. Twenty-five years is a long time, and the players are only getting more talented and more versatile. I can’t wait to see who the next player is to do something I never thought was possible on a basketball court.

Pelton: Fiction. Although Michael Jordan and LeBron James are going to be difficult to displace, by 2046, the voting panel will largely comprise people too young to remember Abdul-Jabbar’s career. I suspect some star between now and then will make it a three-person — and perhaps more accurately three-generation — race for the top spot.

Snellings: Fiction. Bill Russell dominated the 1960s, Abdul-Jabbar the 1970s, Magic Johnson/Larry Bird the 1980s, Jordan and Hakeem Olajuwon the 1980s/90s, Shaquille O’Neal/Tim Duncan/Kevin Garnett/Kobe Bryant the 2000s and James the 2010s. It’s inconceivable to me that we won’t have another player or two come through and carry the game for the 2020s, 2030s and early 2040s. And by 2046, I’d think there’d be at least one new player in the consensus top three.

MacMahon: Fact. It requires a minimum of four titles and 30,000 points to enter that conversation. There are a few active players who might be able to reach those heights — Kevin Durant, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Luka Doncic are the best bets — but the odds are stacked against them.

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NBA 75th Anniversary Team: Who’s overrated? Who’s underrated? Our insiders weigh inon February 22, 2022 at 2:18 pm Read More »

NBArank debate: The biggest questions from our 75th Anniversary Team rankingson February 22, 2022 at 1:19 pm

ESPN’s ranking of the NBA’s 75th Anniversary Team has been revealed. What did we get right and what did we get wrong about our countdown of the league’s 76 greatest legends?

Michael Jordan tops the list, followed by LeBron James, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Magic Johnson and Wilt Chamberlain. The top 10 continues with Bill Russell, Larry Bird, Tim Duncan, Oscar Robertson and Kobe Bryant.

Which all-time greats were overrated and underrated? Which active player currently has the best case to be named No. 77?

Our expert panel is breaking down the rankings, including insight on their biggest factors when comparing players of different eras, the evolution of the all-time top three and what the future could hold for an NBA 100th Anniversary Team.

Note: Players’ accomplishments in the NBL, the ABA, college or international basketball were not considered during the voting process. The voting pool included 76 players, as there was a tie during the NBA’s voting for its 75th Anniversary Team.

MORE: NBA Power Rankings at the All-Star break

1. Which player was most overrated in the rankings?

Kevin Arnovitz: Kevin McHale (No. 39). McHale’s footwork in the post was the stuff of the Bolshoi Ballet. But it’s tough, for instance, to see him 19 spots ahead of Elvin Hayes, even accounting for the multiple championships. McHale was durable, but Hayes was an ironman and a bit more prolific. McHale undoubtedly belongs on the list, but I’d probably slot him a dozen spots lower alongside a few of the prolific guards below him.

2 Related

Jamal Collier: Reggie Miller (No. 51). Miller has a few famous moments and one elite skill, but he just doesn’t have the accolades of a lot of other players on this list. I would have him lower.

Tim MacMahon: Bob Pettit (No. 35). He was obviously one of the greats of his generation, but I have a hard time believing Pettit would have been a dominant force as the game advanced. Sorry, but you can’t convince me that a guy who shot 43.6% from the floor when color TV was considered state of the art is a top-35 player of all time.

Kevin Pelton: Pete Maravich (No. 54). Remembering that we’re only considering players’ NBA careers, Maravich didn’t belong ahead of three MVPs (Dave Cowens, Willis Reed and Russell Westbrook), all of whom enjoyed more success in the postseason as well. Maravich’s five All-Star appearances rank ahead of just four modern-era players on the list: Billy Cunningham (four in the NBA), Earl Monroe (four), Dennis Rodman (two) and Bill Walton (two).

Andre Snellings: Kevin Durant (No. 12). He is one of the most effortless scorers in NBA history, and his skill set as a 7-footer is absurd. Durant played his entire career in the data ball era, and the results of various impact studies bare out the trend. Take Real Plus Minus (RPM) as an example: Durant has finished top five in RPM in only three seasons in his career, with his best finish at third. Compare that with some of his peers who are lower on the list, such as Stephen Curry (16th, seven top-five finishes, best finish at first in the league) or Chris Paul (29th, 10 top-five finishes, best finish at first). Durant is elite, but at this level there are several other players (including several of his generational peers) who have had larger impacts on winning.

Did ESPN’s voting panel underrate James Harden? Wendell Cruz/USA TODAY Sports

2. Which player was most underrated in the rankings?

MacMahon: James Harden (No. 50). It feels like he got demoted several spots due to being in the middle of — or creating, if we’re being totally honest — yet another melodrama. He certainly should be higher based on statistics. If we’re holding the lack of a title against him, that’s fine, but there are a bunch of players above him who don’t own a championship ring.

Pelton: Harden. In general, it feels like many contemporary players were downgraded based on their current level of play. Harden (19th in my championships added metric, 50th in these rankings) was the most notable example of a group that also included Anthony Davis (47th in championships added) and Russell Westbrook (46th). I think once these players retire, it will be easier to remember how great they were in their primes.

Arnovitz: The aforementioned Elvin Hayes (No. 58). The Big E played 80 or more games for 16 consecutive seasons, with career averages of 21 points, 12.5 rebounds and a couple of blocks per game, and he won a title with the Bullets in 1978. He could take an outlet pass from Wes Unseld and glide down the court, and his turnaround jumper was unguardable. Hayes was notoriously prickly, which might have diminished his standing in the club of legends. But his game was smooth.

Collier: Chris Paul (No. 29). Paul checks in among a cluster of players with accomplished careers who lack a championship to complete their resume. The way Paul’s presence on the floor transforms a franchise cannot be overstated, and he belongs up there with Charles Barkley near the top of that group.

Snellings: Kevin Garnett (No. 21). His team situation throughout his career obscured the fact that he had arguably the largest impact on winning of any player in the past 25 years. Garnett was one of the most dominant defensive big men in NBA history, and he was also an excellent team offense creator/floor spacer from the big man position. Across the full body of impact studies of the data ball era, spanning back to 1997, Garnett’s only peer in overall positive effect on team scoring margins is LeBron James, the No. 2 player on the list.

3. Which active player has the best case to be named No. 77?

Arnovitz: Say there was a player who has an MVP to his name, has already compiled a cumulative value over replacement player rating better than Kawhi Leonard and Giannis Antetokounmpo and ranks second among active players in win shares per 48 minutes? Nikola Jokic is that player. He’s only 27, which might be the best reason to omit him from the big list. Yet if he logs another couple of seasons at his current level of production, it will be hard to keep him off. And if Denver gets healthy and finds itself contending, he’s a lock.

Friday, Feb. 25
Heat at Knicks, 7:45 p.m.
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Snellings: Jokic. He, along with Derrick Rose, are the only two active MVPs not currently on the list. But, while Rose has tragically dealt with injuries for much of his career, Jokic has been healthy and elite for several seasons already and is turning in another campaign worthy of a second consecutive MVP this season. He is a positional outlier, as an elite offense-creating big man through which the Nuggets run their entire game. According to Second Spectrum tracking, he has led the NBA in touches since the start of the 2017-18 season by a margin of almost 7,000 over second place, Russell Westbrook, and Jokic’s personal RPM and his team’s offensive ratings are consistently elite.

Collier: Dwight Howard should have been a lock to be on this list, so he’s got to be the first player included if the list was increased by one. Honorable mention to Draymond Green, who has been a key member of a dynasty, and whose ability to play small-ball center forced teams to rethink their lineups and usher in the era of positionless basketball.

MacMahon: Dwight Howard is a three-time Defensive Player of the Year who ranks 57th on the all-time scoring list. There was a whole lot of messiness in the middle of his career, but Howard belongs on this list based on his eight seasons with the Orlando Magic alone.

Pelton: Howard. Speaking of players underrated because of recency bias, the journeyman back half of Howard’s career has overshadowed what an incredible player he was with the Magic. Howard’s five All-NBA First Team selections are more than half the players on the 75th anniversary team. I’m willing to bet he’ll make the top 100 in 25 years when those memories are no longer so fresh.

Comparing NBA legends from different eras is no easy task. Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE/Getty Images

4. What is your biggest factor when comparing players of different generations?

Collier: Dominance relative to competition and being the No. 1 option on a championship team. Since it’s hard to compare players across eras, I take into account how players competed against their competition. Being the best player on a team that wins it all or lifting teams into contention year after year are huge deciding factors, even if a player doesn’t win a title.

Snellings: The biggest factor in comparing players of different generations is how much impact they had on their team winning. We have plenty of ways to measure and correlate a player’s presence with his team’s scoring margins, and while those tools are more accurate in the current era, there are ways to quantify impact back to the dawn of the shot clock. For Bill Russell, for example, we can show that the Celtics had a below-average defense the year before his arrival, the top defense in the NBA by a cartoonish margin during his career and a below-average defense the year after he retired. Or, with players like Oscar Robertson, Jerry West and Bill Walton, we can examine the team’s scoring margins in games they played vs. games they missed, and the results illustrate they were some of the biggest impact players in NBA history.

Pelton: Given how much the league’s style of play has changed over time, to me the single biggest factor is how dominant a player was relative to his peers in a given era. A secondary factor is how competitive the era was in terms of number of teams, rival leagues and the pool of available players.

Arnovitz: It’s important to be mindful of trends that defined the period. Penalizing players prior to the 3-point era for less efficient production or shooting percentages doesn’t seem right. For instance, does anyone doubt that if voracious scorers like Bob McAdoo or Dominique Wilkins were told during the 1980s to master the 3-point shot, they wouldn’t have?

MacMahon: When in doubt, go with the younger guy. It’s a different and much better game now than it was in previous generations. Players now are bigger, stronger, faster and more skilled.

5. Pick one player who is a lock for the NBA’s 100th Anniversary Team (top 100 all time) in 2046.

Pelton: Jokic. Dwight Howard has the strongest case of any active player now to make the list, but by the end of Jokic’s career, Jokic is likely to pass him. For that matter, if Jokic wins a second consecutive MVP (he’s second in ESPN’s latest straw poll), he might pass Howard by the end of this year.

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MacMahon: Nikola Jokic, a serious threat to repeat as MVP at 27, is the best bet. He’s the first of his kind — not just the best passing big man ever but legitimately a point center, a 7-footer who often brings the ball up the floor, leads the league in rebounding and ranks among the top scorers. I’d also be pretty comfortable placing a wager on 22-year-old Doncic, who continues to put up numbers unprecedented for a player his age — or any age, in some cases.

Arnovitz: Luka Doncic. There’s little reason to believe that Doncic won’t be squarely in the top 50 by the time the league reaches its centenarian milestone. Not even lax, Dionysian summers can keep Luka from those heights.

Collier: Tracy McGrady. Injuries cut short his career, but for a seven-year peak, McGrady had a case as the best offensive player in the league. Had he kept his career going, McGrady would be a no-brainer for this list, but with seven All-NBA teams and two scoring titles, he has as strong a case as, say, Damian Lillard.

Snellings: I was tempted to pick Bronny James in hopes that we’ll see LeBron and his son become a basketball version of the Griffeys. But, instead I’ll go with Ja Morant, simply because he is one of the most fun players to watch in the NBA already at only 22 years old. He combines breathtaking physical ability, elite skills and a come-at-your-neck competitive spirit that seems destined to take his team to the mountaintop sooner rather than later. If he keeps it up, he should easily be well within that top 100.

Bonus! Fact or fiction: The current top three will be the same top three in 2046.

Arnovitz: Fiction. The game has produced a “top-three player” every 15 years or so. Given the evolution of the game and the contemporary athletes, there’s good reason to believe it will produce another in the next 25.

Collier: Fiction. Twenty-five years is a long time, and the players are only getting more talented and more versatile. I can’t wait to see who the next player is to do something I never thought was possible on a basketball court.

Pelton: Fiction. Although Michael Jordan and LeBron James are going to be difficult to displace, by 2046, the voting panel will largely comprise people too young to remember Abdul-Jabbar’s career. I suspect some star between now and then will make it a three-person — and perhaps more accurately three-generation — race for the top spot.

Snellings: Fiction. Bill Russell dominated the 1960s, Abdul-Jabbar the 1970s, Magic Johnson/Larry Bird the 1980s, Jordan and Hakeem Olajuwon the 1980s/90s, Shaquille O’Neal/Tim Duncan/Kevin Garnett/Kobe Bryant the 2000s and James the 2010s. It’s inconceivable to me that we won’t have another player or two come through and carry the game for the 2020s, 2030s and early 2040s. And by 2046, I’d think there’d be at least one new player in the consensus top three.

MacMahon: Fact. It requires a minimum of four titles and 30,000 points to enter that conversation. There are a few active players who might be able to reach those heights — Kevin Durant, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Luka Doncic are the best bets — but the odds are stacked against them.

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NBArank debate: The biggest questions from our 75th Anniversary Team rankingson February 22, 2022 at 1:19 pm Read More »

Newly hired WIU head coach Hendrickson strives for a return of ‘Leatherneck legacy’

Newly hired WIU head coach Hendrickson strives for a return of ‘Leatherneck legacy’

Western Illinois University graduate & former player Myers Hendrickson was hired by his alma mater in December. (photo courtesy goleathernecks.com)

Myers Hendrickson first came to Macomb in 1999 at the age of 11 when his father, Mark, was on the Western Illinois coaching staff. Mark Hendrickson served as Leatherneck offensive coordinator 1999 to 2007 and then as head coach 2008 to 2012.

On Dec. 17, WIU announced the hiring of former player Myers Hendrickson as the 31st head coach in Leathernecks’ history.

According to his WIU biographical sketch, Myers Hendrickson “competed as a wide receiver for Western from 2009-11, playing in every game during his last two seasons. As a senior, he was named Phil Steele Preseason College Football Second Team All-Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC) as a punt returner.

“The three years also saw him land on the Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC) All-Academic Team each season, along with receiving the Dr. Frank Sorenson Award for Academic Achievement – awarded to the student-athlete with the highest GPA on the football team.”

As the head coach at NAIA Kansas Wesleyan University, Hendrickson led the team to an overall record of 30-4, which included two Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference (KCAC) championships in 2019 and 2021.

WIU opens spring practice in late March, which culminates in the annual spring game at 6:30 p.m. Friday, April 22. 

Prairie State Pigskin caught up with the 32-year-old Hendrickson last week.

Get to know Myers Hendrickson in this Q&A session:

Your father coached at Western Illinois. What was it like living in Macomb as a boy and ultimately playing for your father at WIU?

I cherish everything about being a Leatherneck. To me, it’s more than a mascot. It’s more than a logo. It’s really a way of life. If you’re a Leatherneck, you’re a Leatherneck for life. That was something I felt from a young age.

With my dad coaching at Western Illinois, I had a special connection to the program . . . It created a lot of lifelong memories and  relationships.

Myers Hendrickson (left) continues to get advice from his father Mark (right). Kansas Wesleyan photo

My dad is not on (WIU’s) staff in an official role, but he’s still around. At Kansas Wesleyan, he shared an office with me. He was there with me every step of the way for three years. A lot of our success is due to him

What are some of your memories of that time? Who are some of the players you admired?

It’s a long list, and it goes on and on. My mentor is Frisman Jackson. The incredible thing about Fris is that it came full circle. He was my position coach here, my wide receivers coach, so I played for Fris here at Western. I remember watching him play here at Western and then in the NFL. He came back here and coached. I talk to him all the time. He recently took the Pittsburgh Steelers receivers (coaching) job.

Frisman Jackson

Everywhere he’s been, he’s invited me in. I spent time with him in Tennessee when he was with the Titans. I’ve been in coaching ever since I was done playing and every step along the way Fris has taken me into whatever staff he’s been on to help me grow and learn. He’s not only taught me the game on the field, he’s taught me to coach. He’s been a huge mentor in my life.

There are others of course: Rich Seubert, Mike Scifries, Eddie Hartwell, Lee Russell, Russ Michna, JR Niklos  . . . the list goes on and on with the incredible Leatherneck legacy here at Western, but at the top of the list is Fris for being the most impactful on my life.

How does your passion of Western Illinois University help you as the Leathernecks head coach?

Western never left me. It’s a part of who I am. When you go to school somewhere, when you play somewhere, it has a special meaning. There’s no substitute. 

Western Illinois University has always served as a huge sense of pride in my life. Wherever I go I talk about Leatherneck football and being a Leatherneck. That part never leaves you, so when I had the opportunity to come back it was exciting for me.

One thing that we have here is that it is a “Tradition of Tough”. I’ve got a sense of pride that I believe only a Leatherneck can have. There’s something about that when you’ve lived it, breathed it and played it. There’s blood and sweat in the locker room and in the weight room. You have an instant connection to the current roster. It also helps me speak to our recruits and their families. I can talk about my experience here at Western Illinois off the field, academically with professors, professionally and socially and athletically. I’m not going to ask players to do anything that I didn’t do. I was given a great student-athlete experience here. It was total, not just as an athlete here. I can speak to all those things firsthand.

(Note:  Hendrickson was a business major at WIU. He did an internship at ADM and worked with John Deere.)

My major emphasis was supply chain management. At Western Illinois you get hands-on experience. Those things allow our students to be successful. I’ve sat in the library. I’ve sat in the writing center. I’ve sat in the classrooms. Those are all things I can share with my recruits, players and their families.

WIU plays in arguably the toughest FCS conference. How do you approach that challenge knowing resources are far from equal within the league, when you’re competing against the North Dakota States of the FCS world?

I look at challenges as opportunities. I was fortunate to be here around some great players and coaches. We had chances to win some of those big games. I got to be a part of it as a student-athlete in a really small (playing) role, but I know the blueprint of what it takes to be successful. 

To me, when you talk about resources, we’re people-rich. We’re people-driven. That’s the thing you’ll hear when you ask alums what’s so special about Western Illinois. That’s what makes Western Illinois such an incredible place.That’s the difference.

Many have marveled at what you were able to do in a short amount of time with your spring recruiting class. How did that happen?

We put a huge emphasis on our backyard. As with anything, you’ve got to start somewhere. So, we started right here in the Midwest. I wanted to recruit high school players and build a foundation for a great program. We signed the majority of our players from Illinois, Iowa and Missouri. That was really critical to me. When you look at that 2010 (playoff-bound WIU) team you saw a lot of players from across Illinois. There are two former Leatherneck players on my staff who went to high school in Illinois. We want to become a destination for this region and build sustainable success.

The thing I want to talk about with recruiting is that we’ve process-driven. We’ve got a process that we put in place in which we get to know student-athletes. We did have a really short window to do it, but I felt like we accomplished that. We were excited to build relationships with the student-athletes, family members and had some outstanding visits on campus as well.

You had incredible success at Kansas Wesleyan over the past three years. Your offense appears to have run quite a bit of four wide receivers and one running back sets. Understanding that your staff is still getting to know your roster, what could your WIU offense potentially look like?

I’m a big believer in fitting the offense to your personnel. I want to be able to be very versatile and also very dynamic with the ability to run or pass out of any formation. You have to play to the strengths of your players. From a football standpoint, that’s one of the things we’re most proud of at Kansas Wesleyan. We were able to adapt our offense to what our players did well. That was the key to our success. We don’t want to force our system onto a roster; we want to see what our best players can do.

On defense, Kansas Wesleyan had an amazing number of tackles-for-loss and sacks. Was that scheme, talent or a culmination of many factors?

At Kansas Wesleyan, we really believed in putting a ton of pressure on the opposing quarterback. So we based out of a four-man front and had a lot of success with good pass rushers. That was really important to me, to put that pressure on the quarterback and get penetration into the offense’s backfield. 

It all starts up front on offense and defense. That’s what makes both the offense and defense go. Good line play is key.

The transfer portal has changed college football as we know. How do you view the portal?

The portal certainly has changed the landscape of the game. It allows players more freedom to be able to move into whatever situation they feel is advantageous for them. We’re tying to recruit graduates of WIU, that’s the challenge of the portal . . . Sometimes the players are seeing media attention for being in the portal and it’s not always ideal for everyone. 

Everybody’s situation is different. I’m all for the transfer portal because I think players should have the freedom to play where they want to play. However, to build a sustainable foundation I think you want players that stay for four years, five years in a program. That’s how you become a model program program and have sustainable success. 

The portal is something you have to be careful with, both as a player and as a coach.

Is there anything else you would like to share with our readers?

I felt incredible support. I’m really excited about Dr. (Guiyou) Huang, our university president, and the vision he has for Western Illinois University as well as Danielle Surprenant, our athletic director. We share a vision, and she already had an outstanding vision, for our athletic department as a whole. I’m really excited to work under her leadership.

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Does Break Dancing belong in the Olympics?

Does Break Dancing belong in the Olympics?

The Winter Olympics are over. The next stop is in Paris for the Summer Games in 2024,

Each Olympics brings new events. In recent years we’ve seen Golf, Tennis and Softball become part of the Summer Games. The Winter Games are highlighted by numerous Snowboard competitions.

So what’s new for 2024? Would you believe Break Dancing? No, I didn’t make that up. You’re reading it correctly. Break Dancing is coming to Paris.

My first reaction to hearing this was a smirk, a shake of my head followed by saying to myself, “Are you f’ing kidding me?” But, I probably said the same thing about Curling, and I just spent the last two weeks watching a form of extreme shuffleboard on ice. Hmmm…why isn’t shuffleboard an Olympic Sport? It has to be better than Break Dancing.

I guess I have two years to get used to this Break Dancing as a sport thing. I’m already counting down the days.

Related PostWinter Olympics 2018: Two weeks of watching games you didn’t care about

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Twisted Hippo Devastated By Fire

Twisted Hippo Devastated By Fire

A car is buried in bricks after a fire in Chicago’s Albany Park neighborhood that destroyed Tesited Hippo Brewing on Feb. 21, 2022. (Jose M. Osorio/Chicago Tribune)

An Albany Park block that housed the Twisted Hippo brewery was devastated by a fire Monday morning.

According to an update by the Chicago Tribune, the first had started in an apartment building and spread to the neighboring brewery and an obstacle course gym called Ultimate Ninjas. Twisted Hippo was blown over when the fire reached several pressurized tanks. Just one person was taken to the hospital, with severe smoke inhalation, but dozens have been left unhoused. The blaze started at 4 Monday morning and involved 150 firefighters,

A few walls at Twisted Hippo were left standing, but the city of Chicago determined them to be a hazard, and ordered the rest of the building razed.

Twisted Hippo co-owner, Marilee Rutherford, has posted to the brewery’s Facebook page:

Simply unreal. At around 4:00 this morning we found ourselves in the inexplicable position of knowing there was a fire at the brewery. By 4:30 I was onsite – cold, grateful for reports that everyone was safe, but pretty useless – which is not my preferred state of being. It was clear, long before the sun was up, that if we weren’t going to lose everything, it was going to be nearly so.

Today has been a blur of well-wishes, kindness, and compartmentalization. Our staff and neighbors are safe. Our family is well and intact. Go Fund Me campaigns have been plurally started, shared and supported. Fundraisers have been planned. Insurance claims processes have begun, and the expertise of an army of brains and experience offered around every corner. Our cups runneth over so much that we’re left, at the end of the day, surveying a river of love and grief on which we travel forward. The last two years have taught us how to keep standing, keep fighting, and ride the current when we can’t control the wind.

We *will* move forward, though we once again have no idea where the next leg of the journey will take us. And tomorrow, as the remaining walls of the building are likely razed, we will sift through the hundreds of messages, posts, and voicemails we have received in support. We will share more when the sun is up again. Tonight, with gratitude for so much that remains after everything seems lost, we rest.

A GoFundMe page has been started to cover immediate expenses and to help out employees as insurance claims are worked out. In less that 24 hours, it has already $110,000 toward its $200,000 goal, and has counted several donations from other Chicago breweries, large and small.

Twisted Hippo’s mascot, Pinky, or Pinkelsworth Hippoford

The brewery building, at 2925 W. Montrose Ave., was home to three previous brewers before Twisted Hippo moved in. The location had opened in 2015 as BreakRoom Brewery, intended to served as a gastropub and as a showroom for a co-owner’s bar-building business. It ran into problems immediately, including having it original brewer Mike Pallen depart to start Mikerphone Brewing. It closed in May the following year. Finch Beer Co. moved in, but shuttered the place before the end of 2016 and resettled as a production brewery in the West Side, a block from Goose Island. Ravinia Brewing produced a few beers in the building, but coudln’t come to terms for a lease.Twisted Hippo finally took over the space in January, 2019. (Josh Noel, Chicago Tribune).

Twisted Hippo itself saw a twisty pathway to its own brewery. Margie and Karl Rutherford began homebrewing over 12 years ago, and picked up the Twisted Hippo name early on. They turned pro by teaming up with another couple brewing as Rude Boy. The resulting Rude Hippo actually got a few batches made at 18th Street before the two couples parted company, and the Rutherfords resumed the Twisted Hippo brand with business partner, Todd Ruddick. (Tribune)

Their brewpub also attracted notice for paying its staffers $15 per hour as a base, and offering health insurance after 30 days of employement.

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“I Never Sang for My Father” (1970) showcases knockout performance by veteran actor Melvyn Douglas

“I Never Sang for My Father” (1970) showcases knockout performance by veteran actor Melvyn Douglas

The best thing about the 1970 film “I Never Sang for My Father” is a knockout performance by the veteran actor Melvyn Douglas.

Douglas plays Tom Garrison (think garrison, as in military), a bombastic, charming, irascible retired businessman and alpha male, 1970-vintage. Gene Hackman, early in his career here, plays Tom’s young adult son, a fiction writer and teacher, visiting his parents in the New York City area, from his home on the West Coast.

As is his custom, Hackman turns in an expert, understated performance.

The movie is about family, estrangement, the search for love, and death.

And it doesn’t entirely work. Don’t get me wrong: it’s an important film of its era, nominated for three Academy Awards; a trenchant drama well- acted, well-directed and well-photographed, and I recommend it. But the central relationship, the central troubled relationship, between Tom, the father, and Gene, the son, is missing something on-screen.

At one point, Gene says that he hates his father. But you know what? Up until that point, I didn’t feel that hatred, and I should have.

Show, don’t tell.

Nevertheless, it’s a damn good movie, that fans of good drama will particularly enjoy.

It’s based on a 1968 Broadway play of the same name written by the same man who wrote the screenplay for the film, Robert Anderson, who was nominated for an Academy Award for his screenplay.

And there may be moments in the film where the dialogue gets a little talk-y, and it feels like you’re watching a play.

Nevertheless, it’s a damn good movie.

A wonderful performance, in a rather small role, was given by the veteran actress Dorothy Stickney, who played Margaret Garrison, Tom’s elderly wife and Gene’s mother. Stickney, whose long career on stage and screen included a role in the original Broadway production of “Pippin,” turns in an understated, naturalistic performance sure to pull at your heartstrings.

In addition to the Oscar nomination for screenplay, the film was also nominated for Best Performance by a Leading Actor (Douglas), and Best Performance by a Supporting Actor (Hackman).

I watched “I Never Sang for My Father” recently on YouTube, for about $4.

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A long-term resident of Chicago’s Ravenswood area, Hartmann worked in reference publishing for 20 years. He was a researcher for “Who’s Who in America,” and was a longtime editor of a newsletter covering developments in the U.S. Congress. He’s currently working in directory publishing. He can be reached via e-mail at [email protected].

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